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All Discussions
Suggestions for topics to focus on for my next Iran debunks - need to be shorter articles rather than all in one - draft first title: Iran invasion not about nukes - not targeting nuclear sites - and Iran proposed a historic agreement to make them impossible for ever - no sunset clause - still within reach when the war stops - what next?
Video: Trump can stop Iran war at any time — Iran will stop too as for 12 day war — don’t need ceasefire AND Video: The Iran war - as a conflict confined to a region of the Middle East is NOT AND CAN’T BE A WORLD WAR
New sections for my Iran debunk - far more detailed legal debunk - and new evidence of sea mines likely make it impossible to clear the strait and for some time ships will have to sail past Larak island into Iranian territorial waters paying $2 million fees to Iran
Iran war rapidly reducing in intensity - Continuing to work on debunks for Iran - the nukes deal details one next
"Under Trump pressure, Iran finds its friends are of little help" - score of 29/30 for factual accuracy - easily the most accurate article I've seen on Iran / US
The US and allies can't beat Iran - any change has to come from within - but CAN achieve an excellent peace deal - one that Witkoff and Trump don't even know about because they misunderstood it and invaded Iran due to Witkoff's mistake
Iran war likely to be short: Iran wants to de-escalate and return to negotiations — Ayatollah likely soon replaced — no real possibility of regime change — and US can't sustain air defences for long — MID EDIT — first part more or less written — end of it mainly scattered notes at present
Iran war likely short and limited in participants on both sides — and rapidly reduce in intensity of strikes on Iranian side — can't be a world war ever — No risk of world war no matter how many join conflict — though unlikely to expand much beyond Israel + US v. Iran — America's usual allies are not joining in strikes in an illegal war
Really worried about trump saying to watch what happens to Iran today and that he is gonna do something drastic like nuke Iran
UK is NOT going to take part in the strikes on Iran - only defend and let US aircraft take off from UK bases over 3,700 km from Iran
Really worried about Israel attacking Iran again especially since I have someone I’m close to stuck in Iran
Risk of damage is to Iran and slow - one or two power stations a day if Trump does give Israel the go-ahead for war crimes on his authority - Likely TACO (Chickens Out) - Iran meanwhile has far less capability to cause damage back
The long negotations in Islamabad were very positive — central issue: US wants zero enrichment — Iran wants zero stockpiles — both methods stop nukes — US likely concedes to Iran's demands eventually
Really worried Israel and Iran war will start back up especially since I have someone i know in Iran
More signals that Iran is willing to talk and not be the warmonger of the moment, Iran won't attack the US
A good point on the Iran negotiations directly from Iran's media
Why Iran couldn't develop a nuke in less than years even before its program was obliterated — and few know that Iran votes every year for a nuclear weapons free Middle East
Talks likely to resume in a couple of days — blockade is limited to Iran and just attempt to pressure Iran — Not likely to last long — Trump likely to Chicken Out as oil prices rise
😔😊: Sad but positive — 😔: Trump attacked Iran — because Wiktoff didn’t have the technical knowledge to understand — 😊: he achieved a historic breakthrough — if signed, Iran will never have nukes
Why Trump can stop the Iran war at any time — not with a ceasefire — just US and Israel stopping their attacks — and Iran stopping too once it is clear that they really have stopped — And why there it NEVER had any way to be a world war — a conflict confined to a region of the Middle East is NOT A WORLD WAR — no matter how many soldiers are there from how many different nations
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